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OpenAI’s $600 Billion Vision: The Path to a Trillion-Dollar Valuation

February 22, 2026
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OpenAI’s $600 Billion Vision: The Path to a Trillion-Dollar Valuation
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The financial roadmap for OpenAI is reaching unprecedented heights as the company prepares for a future defined by massive infrastructure and a potential $1 trillion IPO. Recent internal projections suggest the ChatGPT creator plans to invest roughly $600 billion in total compute spend through 2030, signaling an aggressive push to maintain its lead in the generative AI race.

Record-Breaking Growth and Funding

OpenAI’s fiscal performance in 2025 has already surpassed expectations. The company reported $13 billion in revenue, comfortably beating its original $10 billion projection. Simultaneously, it managed its costs effectively, spending $8 billion against a forecasted $9 billion budget.

This momentum is fueling one of the largest private capital raises in history. Nvidia is reportedly finalizing a $30 billion investment in the startup as part of a broader funding round exceeding $100 billion. If successful, this would propel OpenAI’s valuation to approximately $830 billion, positioning it within striking distance of the elite trillion-dollar club.

The 2030 Roadmap: Revenue and Infrastructure

By 2030, the Microsoft-backed organization anticipates generating more than $280 billion in annual revenue. This income is expected to be split almost equally between its consumer-facing products and its enterprise services.

To support this growth, CEO Sam Altman has outlined a monumental infrastructure plan:

  • Energy Requirements: A commitment to developing 30 gigawatts of computing resources—enough to power 25 million homes.
  • Capital Expenditure: A long-term vision that could involve spending up to $1.4 trillion on hardware and energy.

Challenges in Scaling

Despite the soaring revenue, the cost of operating advanced AI models remains a significant hurdle. In 2025, the expense associated with “inference”—the process of running live models—surged fourfold. This spike caused OpenAI’s adjusted gross margins to tighten, dropping to 33% from the 40% seen in 2024. As the company scales, balancing these massive operational costs with its ambitious revenue targets will be the defining challenge of its pre-IPO era.

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